August 7th, 2016

theman

Always Tell Me the Odds

According to Nate Silver's Election Forecast, this fall is not looking good for Donald Trump. True, Trump has strong odds in many states, but the big picture is how many Electoral Collage votes he can carry.

In Oklahoma, for example, Trump has over a 98% chance of winning the state. Great... except Oklahoma only gives him 7 electoral votes. Hillary Clinton currently has over a 99% chance of winning California, which would give her 55 electoral votes.

I'm not sure the Trump campaign even considered the Electoral College in their strategy. (By the way, Nate Silver is the guy who accurately predicted Obama would win in 2012, despite polls saying otherwise.)